Operation CLEAR SKIES Phase 2 - S-2 Briefing

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1LT Mallory

15A Aviation Officer
Aviation Element
Operation CLEAR SKIES Phase 02-22 - TASK FORCE ALPHA

S-2 Tailored Intelligence Brief//07AUG2022
//SECRET//
Operation/Patrol Time:

-0700 Local//0200 ZULU

Weather/Forecast Information:

Current conditions: 88F / 49% Humidity / Winds @ 13-16 MPH out of the NNW / UV Index: Moderate to low

- A mild cold front pushed over the Caspian Sea late yesterday and is currently set to bring around two inches of rain to Mary. Expect to see gradually deteriorating visibility conditions as wind and precipitation roll in from the northwest. Max wind speed is estimated to not exceed 20MPH.

- No current lightning is anticipated & no advisory is necessary. 

- Sunset for this evening is set at 1955

Lighting/Visibility Factors:

- N/A (See above)

Notice to Air Missions (NOTAMs) & Aviation Advisory Information

- All air missions and sorties across the Kirov area of operations are urged extreme caution & directed to only fly within designated low-risk air corridors.

- The presence of at least two 2K22 Tunguska, or SA-19 Grison self-propelled air defense systems has been confirmed to our northern outskirts, as well as to the southwestern area around Severkuldzha. With a range of up to 6km when utilizing active radar, and the ability to function without depending on active radar, several areas have been declared as limited flight/no-fly zones until these threats can be effectively located and neutralized. 

Theater/Strategic-level News & Intelligence Updates, Activity, and Analysis

- UN WHITE's joint forces maneuver in the west has been gradually ramping up, as the 2nd Marines & 24th MEU have established several outposts between the newly established Camp HOPE (20 miles east of the outskirts of Ashgabat), and have begun village stability operations (VSO's) in support of the UN's relief and aid distribution efforts.

- The entire theater is suffering from a lack of Turkmen translators and establishing local contacts to bridge this gap has been limited thus far, so expect a delay in the availability of the information available from human sources, documents, and files that contain Turkmen. Russian interpreters have had the most success so far, but human source intelligence still remains very limited in scope and applicability.

- The decentralized leadership of the New World Turkmenia Youth Party (New World Turkmenia Party) appears to also extend to the New World Revolutionary Corps (NWRC), which will make any sort of "decapitation" focus against the leadership of either much less limited in effectiveness. There is still no indication that the New World Turkmenia Party will revert to the restriction of weapons owned or carried by any host country national, however, it is possible that they may yet still restrict them to only uniformed fighters, most likely as a means to further encourage those yet to side with the NWRC & their proxy militia groups. UN/US personnel will not and cannot risk imposing this restriction ourselves for fear of greatly exacerbating the potential volatility of stability and aid efforts throughout the country.

Local/Tactical-level News & Intelligence Updates, Activity, and Analysis

- Special ops were successful in conducting an assault on Objective CUMULUS, securing an airfield for use by coalition forces as we continue to expand across the southern edge of Mary's Southern Inhabited Shelf. Elements of 1st BTN have already been tasked there, and we should expect elements of A/Co to also augment operations in Severkuldzha.

- Several avenues of funding have been identified as means of finance for both the NWRC and militant forces, one of the most locally noteworthy examples is that of cannabis cultivation. You have probably passed by or even been downwind from some of these fields, usually, they're distinctively green in color with plants around head height. Currently, we are not taking ANY action against these farms, as it is suspected that the local populace also benefits from the cultivation of these plants. That said, INSCOM is seeking to plot as many of these fields as possible in order to gather a more accurate estimate as to how much the NWRC may be dependent on said cultivation for funds, as well as to monitor the fields for possible trafficking by locals who may be sympathetic to the NWRC cause. 

- Aid distribution, relief efforts, and village stability operations (VSOs) in our current area of operations have had a positive effect on disrupting militant/NWRC activity in our immediate AO, most evidenced by the arrival of reinforcements from the north. Hence, the goal of the patrol today is to further disrupt the NWRC-backed militants and to prevent them from setting their feet under them as they continue to reel from our initial actions in the Kirov area. 

Special Info/Patrol Objective-specific Intelligence

- Elements of 2nd PLT, A/Co were ambushed by militia forces near the town of Mata last week. While no significant casualties were sustained, it is becoming clear that the NWRC and local militants are coordinating to plan and execute more sophisticated attacks against coalition forces operating across the country. Additionally, evidence also suggests that hostile militants are actively building and deploying improvised explosive devices, and while no reported use of such devices has been confirmed in our area of operations yet, vehicle-bourne IEDs (VBIEDs) have become increasingly frequent in the fighting in and near the capital.
 
Operation CLEAR SKIES Phase 02-22 - TASK FORCE CHARLIE

S-2 Intelligence Brief//13AUG2022
//SECRET//
Operation/Patrol Time:

- 0530 Local

Weather/Forecast Information:

- Current temp: 82F Today's High: 101F with mostly clear skies, humidity dropping from 45% to 22% by 1400 local. Wind out of the NW at 10-15mph, constant with limited gusting.

Lighting/Visibility Factors:

- Greater than or equal to 5 miles. Sunrise at 0606 & sunset at 1948.

Notice to Air Missions (NOTAMs) & Aviation Advisory Information

- The presence of at least two 2K22 Tunguska, or SA-19 Grison self-propelled air defense systems has been confirmed to our northern outskirts, as well as to the southwestern area around Severkuldzha. With a range of up to 6km when utilizing active radar, and the ability to function without depending on active radar, several areas have been declared as limited flight/no-fly zones until these threats can be effectively located and neutralized.

Theater/Strategic-level News & Intelligence Updates, Activity, and Analysis

- The NWRC has repurposed Turkmen Armed Forces rotary wing and possibly fixed wing air assets. These capabilities include utility helicopters, attack & gunship helicopters, and multirole capable fixed wing aircraft, the lattermost of which are capable of carrying air-to-air missiles. All coalition aviation elements are advised extreme caution regarding hostile air threats due to the coverage drops of available airborne early warning systems throughout the theater. 

Local/Tactical-level News & Intelligence Updates, Activity, and Analysis

- Review of intelligence collected over the last two weeks has indicated that most of the militants across the southern AO of Mary Province fall into two of the major identified militant groups, the 7/7 Martyrs and the Aswad-Murghab Brotherhood. Primarily, the 7/7 Martyrs are the faction most identified with activities in our AO on the western side of the Severkuldzha plateau. Differences in methodology and motivators are being evaluated and will be detailed in subsequent S-2 products. 

Special Info/Patrol Objective-specific Intelligence

- Elements of 1st Platoon were decisively engaged last week during their maneuver to strike an NWRC supply and reinforcement convoy approximately two clicks (km) north of the designated "COP WILSON", and were forced to conduct a hasty retrograde from the area as a result. Material recovered during the course of the patrol confirmed previous intelligence which indicated a convoy was using the location in question as a waystation for supplies and troops to reinforce several locations across the northern end of the AO, primarily COP WILSON.

- Imagery and ISR platforms are stretched thin across UN BLUE's area of responsibility (AOR), and the lack of available imagery from current ISR-capable assets in our AO has resulted in no images available that detail specific threats. We know that COP WILSON has been the source of artillery and triple-A fires over the last two weeks, and the recent resupply and reinforcement of the COP have resulted in the employment of several fixed gun emplacements, so expect these positions to be the primary focus before an approach on the COP itself is made. A thorough assessment of major threats will need to be conducted via the established SBF position on the northern hilltop, but it can be expected that militants and NWRC regulars will be expecting imminent contact with coalition forces.
 
Operation CLEAR SKIES Phase 02-22 - TASK FORCE BRAVO

S-2 Intelligence Brief//14AUG2022

Due to the time-sensitive nature of the objective Task Force Bravo was tasked with in support of TFC's assault on COP WILSON, an S-2 briefing was forgone.
 
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